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August 1st - 31st, 1999
VOL. 5, NO: 13-14

Part 1 of  2

Go to Part 2 of  2

EDITORIAL

OPERATION MUSHTARI

THE descalation of War in Kargil has been  followed by the  worsening of the ground
situation in the Kashmir Valley. Terrorist groups have begun taking on paramilitary
forces and army  directly. During the last 10 days there have been more than 15 attacks
on the camps of security forces, resulting in more than 30 deaths of the security
personnel. These attacks had an element of surprise and point that the ISI has been
able to build a highly efficient underground command structure for subversion.
Planting of car bombs and IEDs have become a common occurence even in the high security
zones of Srinagar city. Convoys of armed forces are being targetted under a definite plan.
Counter-insurgents’ and political activists’ killings have also seen a sharp increase.
Reports  say that during the last two months ISI has pushed more than 2000 mercenaries
into the Kashmir Valley, while another 3000 have been massed along the border for
infiltration.
It would be naive to think that the escalation of terrorist violence is simply aimed at
disrupting the election process or  is an act of desperation on the part of Pakistan in
the aftermath of debacle in Kargil. A close look on the operation topac reveals that the
new qualitative upgradation represents a higher phase i.e., Zarb-e-Kamil/ Operation
Mushtari Phase. The main features of this higher phase have been outlined as repeating
Kargil type intrusions in different parts of J&K to occupy lateral valleys, engaging
Indian armed forces directly to create multiple fronts within, use of remote controlled
land mines to make highways and movement of security forces unsafe etc.
Pakistan under a plan is raising the political and military cost for India in this
proxy-war. There are three imperatives for India to counter this Operation Mushtari.
One to stop the infiltration of subversives from across the border. It means creating
a 5 kilometer seucirty belt with effective mining of the borders. Second the strategic
protection of the highways. And lastly the element of surprise has to be snatched from
the terrorists. India must go on offensive against the foreign mercenaries on the pattern
followed by Britishers in their Malaya campaign.
Any dithering on these imperatives can be highly deterimental for our security stakes in Jammu and Kashmir.
 

Minorities in J&K

EVOLVE A ‘DOCTRINE  OF SURVIVAL’

By Dr. Ajay Chrangoo

SECESSIONISM IN BORDER STATES

The secessionist movements have been the characteristic of only the border
states in India. And without exception such states either have a non-Hindu
population as the majority social group or the dominant Hindu identity has
suffered a crippling erosion over the years. The importance of the absence
of secessionist tendencies in the main heartland in maintaining the Unity of
India cannot be overemphasised. The political culture as has evolved in the
mainland India has in many ways than one contributed to the growth of
secessionism in the border states as also the marginalisation and exclusion
of Hindu minority groups living there.
While as the growth of separatism in North-Eastern states can be mainly
attributed to socio-economic reasons as will as concerted campaigns to bring
about dilution and cultural alienation of Hindu social groups, same does not
hold true for the growth of secessionism in the northern border states of
Punjab and Jammu and Kashmir. The patronisation and legitimisation by the
Indian State and the mainstream political establishment of the
religious-subnationalism in these two states has created a situation where
secessionist politics has assumed international ramifications and an intense
war from within.

CLEANSING OPERATIONS IN J&K

The dimensions of this internal war have frightening proportions
particularly in the State of Jammu and Kashmir. Hindu minority in this
border state has borne the main brunt of this war. Suffering a systematic
process of ruthless marginalisation and exclusion since independence, the
Hindus  in the Jammu and Kashmir State are now face to face with an
attrition of genocidal proportions. Terrorist operatives in this state,
unlike Punjab, are of the nature of a demographic assault. Indian State as
well as political mainstream have yet to acknowledge this stark reality.
Kashmir valley has already been cleansed of its Hindu population. Continuing
massacres of the Hindus in Jammu province are neither a diversionary tactic
employed by the terrorists nor a sign of their desperation under the
supposed pressure mounted by the security forces. They have a very clear cut
objective of bringing about a blatant demographic change not just in some
parts, but in the entire Jammu region.
‘Cleansing operations’ in the form of selective or mass killings of Hindus
form only the obvious component of the demographic assault in the state. The
less talked about, but not so hidden, components are engineered purchase of
land and properties in targeted areas of Jammu region, fraudulent and
illegal grab of Hindu properties and most significantly the demographic
invasion, of Jammu city. Creating a ‘New Jammu  City’ with a transformed
demographic profile, relegating the existing city to the  backyards, is no
longer being talked in hushed tones.
These demographic campaigns besides being crucial to the Islamisation of the
state to facilitate extension of Muslim power further towards east have also
immediate implications. Such machinations narrow down the social support
base for India in the state, thus critically impairing the leverage of the
Nation in any negotiated settlement in the light of mounting international
pressures to settle the Kashmir issue.  Efforts of the entire nation to
stand up to concerted international pressures on the Kashmir issue stand
nullified in the long run if the demographic character of the state is
allowed to be transformed at a pace at which it is happening in the present
time.
Dispersal of displaced Kashmiri Pandits from Jammu to other parts of the
country, regular internal displacement of Hindus from the vulnerable border
areas of Jammu province to smaller towns as well as the main Jammu city
should ring the alarm bills loud enough for evolving a more comprehensive
thinking on the issue. Strategic thinking should take a serious notice of
the fact that even though Indian security prowess may be able to enforce a
status quo on the borders but as a result of this blatant change of
demographic profile of the state the borders of the nation are very
in-conspicuously receeding back.

RESPONSE OF INDIAN STATE

The response of the Indian State to this serious development since 1989 can
be at the most termed as an approach of mere ‘physical retention’ of Hindus.
The main features of this policy of retention are that:
i)      it seeks to maintain pluralism in the state only in symbolic terms.
Attempts at the phased return of the displaced Hindus is a classical example
of this symbolism.
ii)     it ignores the reality that Hindus in the state in general, and in
vulnerable pockets were they are having not a significant presence in
particular, are the basic targets  of destabilisation.
iii)    attacks on Hindus in the state continue to be visualised in terms of
attempts to vitiate communal atmosphere in the mainland rather than in terms
of effecting a demographic transformation of that particular area and
pushing back the civilisational frontiers of the nation.
iv)     it seeks to discourage fresh displacement only through administrative
coercion in the form of presenting a fiat accompli to the victims that
displacement may bring a worse situation of economic ruin and wilderness.
The victim is presented a choice between devil and the deep sea.

It is no exaggeration that Hindus in Jammu and Kashmir constitute the
dominant component of the social resistance against the separatist politics
in the state. The feeling that is gaining ground amongst them is that while
they constitute the main target of destabilisation for Islamic
fundamentalism as well as larger international intrigue, they are yet only a
peripheral concern for the Indian State and the mainstream political
thinking. The feeling is critically undermining the morale of their
resistance against the separatism and fundamentalism.

SURVIVAL DOCTRINE

It is time that problems of minorities in the State of the J&K are addressed
not in piecemeals and puny political posturings. Indian State can no longer
afford to shy away from evolving a comprehensive ‘Doctrine of Survival’ for
minorities in the Jammu and Kashmir State. Any delay in its formulation may
only imperil the minorities with serious implications for overall security
integrity and stability of the already weakened northern frontiers of the
Indian nation.
This security Doctrine should form one of the main components of India’s
Kashmir policy and should be based on the specific threats to the minorities
in the regions of the state they inhabit. It also should take into account
the role of political elites in the state towards the survival and
development of the minorities. The main presumptions for this security
doctrine have to be as:

a)      No protection measure for the minorities under assault in the state can
be evolved unless Government of India takes into account its genocidal
contours. Hindus in the state are under attack as a society and not as
individuals.
b)      The surer immunity against terrorist campaigns is building the physical
resistance as well as deterence, which means therapeutic arming of Hindus.
For this nation needs to rise above the limitations which the existing
secular idiom imposes on the policy makers. Taking nation into confidence
about the contours and magnitude of the threat to the very existence of
Hindus becomes imperative. The larger Muslim minority in country has to be
particularly educated about the nature of crisis and precarious position of
the Hindus in the state.
c)      The return and rehabilitation of the internally displaced groups in the
state is to be visualised not in terms of physical return to the lost
territory.  The displaced groups’ return essentially means return to the
society and economic organisation of the lost territory and hence demands
addressing of the issues of communalisation and fundamentalisation of the
society.
d)      The security doctrine has necessarily to relate itself to the proper
political empowerment of Hindus and evolving an approach which undermines
the politics of religious subnationalism.
v)      The growing feeling amongst Hindus of the state of being disowned by the
nation has to be properly adressed as the feeling can breed either surrender
or alienation.

The father of the nation had opined helplessly in 1934 that a Hindu prince
can only rule in a Muslim majority Kashmir by abdicating the responsibility
to rule. But that was before independence during the autocratic rule. The
independent democratic Indian Nation over the years has shown the same
inclination of conveniently abdicating the responsibility and choosing only
soft options. Such approach can no longer be tenable. What is at stake now
is very existence of the minorities in the state.
 
 

TOWARDS UNDERSTANDING THE WAR

By Dr Ajay Chrungoo

KARGIL intrusion has raised an array of fundamental questions about the
functioning of our intelligence set up, strategic thinking to political
decision  making. Terms of reference of the Committee declared by the Prime
Minister to go into the various aspects of Kargil intrusion are broad enough
to answer these questions. Only if the committee applies itself with
integrity and the political leadership plays just a facilitator’s role.
However the process of such an introspection may still fall short of the
desired objectives of making nation wiser to evolve a comprehensive response
to the Pak mechinations. The reason is the reluctance which the Indian
nation state has been showing in  qualifying the ‘war form’ Pakistan has
unleashed. The nation has to come to terms with this ‘war form’ if the
aftermath of Kargil intrusion, which marked the upgradation of Pakistani
agression at all levels, is to be handled properly.

WAR FORM AND DEFECTIVE STRATEGIC PARADIGM

The commonly used terminogologies for the Pakistani aggression of various
forms during last decade have been ‘Proxy-war’ and ‘undeclard war’. Prox-war
term, which is more commonly used, squarely fails to qualify the nature of
this war because it creates a  misleading impression about the
instrumentalities used in this war. The human factor involved through such a
qualification, becomes an element devoid of any will, conviction as well as
independence of action. Focus remains primarily on the external element.
The ‘undeclared war’ terminology is also grossly inadequate, but does at
least qualify one attribute of the ‘war form’ which is that the initiator of
the aggression maintains a leverage of deniability and never formally owns
the responsibility for the aggression.
Both the nomenclatures are the product of the extant strategic paradigm of a
low-intensity conflict which is neither able to perceive the gradual
upgradation of the aggression at various levels from within nor visualise
and pre-empt the quantum leap in the conflict from without. These commonly
used qualifications of Pakistani war also do not encompass the various
components of the aggression as well as its objectives long term or short
term.
In the aftermath of Kargil intrusion the experts on strategic concerns
however, appear to be getting conscious of the limitations of the existing
paradigm on security issues. They have  infact become highly critical of it.
‘A Kashmir policy must be invented supported by an operational doctrine that
will persuade Pakistan to respect the ‘sanctity of LoC’, comments major Gen.
Ashok Mehta a military expert of repute. Another analyst on strategic
affairs Raja Menon reflects similar concerns while trying to explain reasons
for Kargil intrusion. “A range of faulty signals from India created not so
much by bad nuclear strategy but absence of any strategy conventional or
nucler”.
 

QUALIFICATION OF THE WAR FORM

The deputy director of Institute of  Defense studies and Analyses C. Uday
Bhaskar, one of the best known defense experts, describes the complexity of
the war by Pakistan in Kashmir  as, “Kashmir symbolises a large range of
issues  including terrorism, low-intensity coflict, concept of Jehad,
Islamic terror and also the patterns of ISI’s destablising designs in
different parts of our country.”
This statement, even though a little overlapping in its content, takes into
account the broadest spectrum of attributes of the Paki-war. More
specifically the Pakistani aggression against our nation for last two
decades constitutes three forms of assaults-subversive, demographic and
territorial. The distinguished political scientist from Kashmir, Prof.  MK
Teng hits the core of the issue when he describes the undeclared war as the
‘War of Subversion’.
The aftermath of Kargil intrusion provides the defense and strategic
analysts of our country a very conducive national environment to go into
various aspects of the failure which led to the intrusion in Kargil. It also
provides a very excellant and crucial opportunity to understand the nature
of the war being waged by Pakistan in its totality.
Kargil intrusion constituted the interplay of all the three forms of
assaults-subversive, demographic and territorial. Before the intrusion we
have seen the interplay  and impact of only the subversive and  demographic
assaults. Inspite of the much drummed up Shia-Sunni divide a very
significant part of the logistics for the Kargil intrusion was provided by
the subversives within. Kargil crisis had also a very significant
implication of rendering the security and manitainance of Kargil town
untenable creating the potential for a severe demographic pressure on the
Buddhist majority Leh. The territorial implications of the intrusion have
been throughly debated and the dangers to entire Ladakh region highlighted.
The atypicality of the military operations in Kargil have been summed up by
another expert on strategic analyses Sh Sreedhar, “for the first time in
post independence India, the armed forces are fighting two types of armies
of Pakistan. It is becoming clear that Pakistan’s regular army from Northern
Light Infantry Divisiion is in action. At another level the Indian army is
also fighting a regular-irregular army raised by Pakistan during the last
two decades.”
 

WAR OF SUBVERSION-ATTRIBUTES

The war by Pakistan as already discussed comprises of three main components
- subversive, demographic and territorial. However, the subversive component
constitutes core of the entire ‘war form’.
a)      Basic objective:- Basic objective of this war form is purely
ideological. Pakistan is an ideological state with a proclaimed
incompatibility with Indian nation state. This incompatibality is not
Kashmir specific as commonly believed. Kashmir is only an alibi for
expansion of Muslim power towards east taking the entire Himayalan barrier
into its fold to ultimately overwhelm India.
        The Comments of one of the leading authorities on contemporary Islam John
Laffin should make our strategic analysts stand up and ponder, while they
formulate approaches to deal with the Pakistani aggression. Laffin says,
“The Sunni Muslim code of civil legislation according to Hanfi School of
Islamic Law expresses the matter clearly. The Jehad is the normal and
permanent state of  war between the Muslims and the people of Dar-al-Harb,
the code points out. It can end only with domination over the unbelievers
and the absolute supermacy of Islam throughout the world. All war like acts
are permitted on the territory of the infidels ... As it is not feasible to
fight against all the infidel people simultaneously, Jehad allows for the
eventuality of a provisional suspension of hostilities. Such unavoidable
truces constitute another form of holy war for they serve to reinforce the
military potential of Darul-Islam.”
b)      Interim objectives:- This war of subversion, conditioned by its basic
objectives, has interim objectives. The major flaw in our national discourse
on security issues is that it continues to be territory centric. For an
unconventional war we have been applying a conventional approach. This
paradigm has lead to our failure to appreciate the non-territorial
objectives of Pakistani aggresson in general and Kargil intrusion in
particular.
        Strategic thinkers within this country and outside have regarded Kargil
intrusion as a high quality military operation of ‘ingenuity’. Tony Clifton
who had reported 1971 war between India and Pakistan on both sides comments,
“Ironically it has really been a brilliant operation on the part of the
Pakistanis, but they can never say so, that is horribly for their morale.”
Indian military experts have also openly complimented this operation from
the point of view of military  standards. Ironically there is a simplistic
generalisation being offered in this country that the Pakistani think tank
behind Kargil Operation was surprised by the high intensity response from
India. We are spending two crores a day for defending a very remote area  of
Ladakh - the Siachin Glacier, and even had successfully repelled more than a
dozen bids to capture it in the year preceeding Lahore diplomacy. Yet we
tend to believe that on the other side people were stupid enough not to
judge our  reaction even when  the entire Srinagar-Leh axis was being
jeopardised.
        It is time our strategic analysts accord due respectibility to such
objectives of Kargil intrusion which have been articulated but only  in a
way that they appear to be incidental to the main objective of endangering
the entire Ladakh region. These objectives are essentially non-territorial
from the short term perspective.
        For example through the operation in Kargil, besides inflicting a heavy
cost on India Pakistan has also probed various strategic thresholds.
Specifically Kargil intrusion has lowered the threshold for international
intervention and at the same time raised the threshold of Indian
conventional reponse.But more importantly the intrusion has aimed to create
a favourable environment for Dilution of Indian Sovereignty in Jammu and
Kashmir.
        In the prelude to Kargil intrusion Pakistan’s support to district-wise
plebiscite in Jammu and Kashmir state and almost simultaneous floating of
proposals for reorganising the Indian part of Jammu and Kashmir on communal
lines with Indian control only on three subjects of defence, communication
and foreign affairs, are perhaps not incidental happenings. During as well
as after the Kargil operation we are witnessing  the veering round of  the
so called moderate liberal opinion both in Pakistan and India around various
variants of the Dixon-Plan advocated vigorously by US think tanks on
Kashmir.
        Pakistani analyst Ayaz Amir’s remarks in Dawn provide a critical insight
which is worth consideration. He while making a critical apprisal of
Pakistani operation says, “to put the most charitable construction on what
is going on in Kargil sector, if this was the opening move in a bid to
liberate Kashmir by force, something could be said in its defence. It would
be seen as part of a larger scheme of things even if this larger scheme was
decried as foolish or foolhardy. But unless there are higher secrets yet to
be revealed, the fighting in Kargil appear to stand all by itself...  A  war
or even fighting of a limited kind as we are seeing in theKargil and Drass
sectors, must have a political objective if the expenditure of blood and
resources is to be justified. What is the political objective of the present
fighting?
        It cannot be the conqest or liberation of Kashmir because we lack the
strength for that. It  cannot be the desire to internationalise the Kashmir
problem because it is a quixotic venture to risk a war for so paltry aim.”
        Strategic security paradigm in India has to assimilate the fact that most
important interim objective of ‘war of subversion’ in Jammu and Kashmir by
Pakistan is the Dilution of Indian Sovereignty over the state. Also what we
are witnessing in the entire state is not a territorial surgery but
territorial dissolution. Relentless Demographic assault has considerably
narrowed down Indian social base in the state. This loss of demographic
leverage is aimed to facilitate the process of territorial dissolution to
critical levels where the front either will not exisit or there will be
fronts all around.
c)      Response Control:- ‘War of Subversion’ through its subversive process
has created,  sustained and perpetuated a reference frame work in our counry
which is crucial for its continuance and attainment of objectives. The
contradictions between various nation building approaches in India are being
used as the operating space . Military experts in India now admit that even
without territorial gains Pakistani operations have attained a ‘strategic
depth.’
        With the upgradation of various components of Pakistani aggression,
subversive assault has assumed a critical dimension which if not controlled
can be catastrophic. Upgradation in subversion has further brought  about a
qualitative deterioration in the existing refrence framework of Indian
responses. For example before 1989 and forced exodus of Kashmiri Pandits,
secular approach of various political regimes in valley was judged not by
the secular content of their politics but by their approach towards
accession with India. After 1989, the demographic composition of the exodus
became the hall mark of the state of secular affairs. In recent times  the
pressures of subversion have pushed the secular paradigm to rediculous
cliches. Symbolic return of Pandits gave away to the tourism returning to
valley as the basic parameter of the status of secularism in the valley.
        Theories of ‘alienation’ have helped in the dangerous internalisation of
the crisis. Everything that happens gets attributed to the failures of the
state thereby creating  more alienation.
        Most dangerous implication of the subversive processes is their  success in
forcing a process of self-disinformation upon the Indian state. Kargil
intrusion becomes a fallout of returning tourism and normalcy in the valley.
And intensification of violence in the valley becomes a  fallout of Kargil
intrusion. Massacres in Jammu become a result of desperation of terrorists
in the valley and the massacres in valley an outcome of their desperation in
Jammu. Nation appears to have entered a vicious cycle of self-delusion and
self-mortification.
d)      International Environment:- The ‘war of subversion’ is operating in a
conducive international environment of unipolarity. India continues to be
seen as a part of the other pole of the bipolar era which was dismantled.
The international environment has restricted the healthy expression of our
sovereignity. Kargil war took place on the terms and conditions of the enemy
which we could not alter because of our continued isolation on strategic
matters.
        The ‘war of subversion’ by Pakistan should be seen in   complementary
relations rather than contridiction with the international opinion which has
restricted the expression of Indian sovereignity. American and western
endorsement of Indian point of view came as late as when most of the
military objectives were achieved by Indian forces at a very heavy cost. The
belated support to Indian position in Kargil has not to be visualised as
veering round of US and west to Indian view on Kashmir but only in the
context of forestalling any new regional alignments. “No less extremist ones
are those who have somehow convinced themselves that America’s abhorrrence
of Islamic fundamentalism combined with terrorism, more particularly the
nefarious activities of Osma Bin Laden, the growing attraction of Indian
market and the realisation  that in the Asian balance of power India
matters, the US is now ready for a breakthrough in Indo-US relations even at
the cost of its long term alliance with Pakistan”, these words of caution by
Inder Malhotra are fully justified.
        The interim objective of dilution of sovereignty in Indian Kashmir of the
‘war of subversion’ by Pakistan is in perfect harmony with the positions
taken by US and west on Kashmir. The vision of Asia in 21st century as
revealed by the Pantagon Papers envisages creation of an Independent
Kashmir. There are concrete reasons to believe that this vision has not been
as yet disowned by the US Government.
e)      Economic support:- The war type by Pakistan is supported both by legal
as well as illegal economy. Overemphasis on the state of affairs of official
Pak economy may lead us to faulty conclusions. Illegal economy derived from
the over all control of drug traffiking in particular and crime Mafias in
general form the core of the support base of this ‘war of subversion’. It is
mind-boggling that equal amount of Pakistan’s GDP in 1997-98-Rs 2,750
million was generated by the parallel economy. Sums generated by smuggling
are at the disposal of armed forces and spending Rs 100 million or so for a
Kargil type operation is not a problem.
 

BEYOND KARGIL

The realisation of the totality of the war by Pakistan is a pre-requisite in
combating  it. Approaches  of self mortification have lead to the
internalisation of the problems which Pakistan has created. Approaches of
externalisation have to be part of the future operational doctrine.
National sensitivity to Pakistani designs should not be only  territorial.
Subversive and demographic assaults are as crucial as the terrotorial one.
Nation has to develop a threshold for these assault  forms as well and let
it be known to the world. There in lies  the key to contain and defeat this
agression.
 
 

‘OPERATION TURTUK’

KARGIL ADVENTURE: DESTINATION WAS SIACHEN

Special Correspondent

Turtuk is the strategic underbelly of Siachen, being sandwiched between the
Northern areas of PoK and Aksai Chin/Karakoram frontier on the east. Over
two-thirds of the route to Turtuk is the same as that for Siachen. Any
Pakistani advance down the Shyok valley would put pressure on the flanks of
the Siachen route. Also, Pakistani pressures in the Turtuk sector could have
them control over the high altitude Thoise airbase and open up the
possibility of establishing  a direct axis to Batalik (via Chorbatla) and
from there on to Kargil.
Turtuk was captured by the Indian Army in the 1971 war under the leadership
of Col Chewang Rinchin. Under Simla agreement it was delineated with  India.
Kargil aggression by Pakistan was a grand design to incorporate Turtuk and
its adjoining areas. This has been confirmed from the interrogation of the
arrested militants, who revealed that Pakistan had planned to execute
‘Operation Turtuk’. By occupying Turtuk and its adjacent areas, Pakistan
wanted to make India’s retention of Siachen untenable.
Pakistan has an obsession that occupation of Siachen by Indian troops
threatens the Sino-Pak Karakoram Highway, which is actually at a distance of
180 km from the Siachen across severely broken terrain. In 1983 intelligence
reports had warned India of Pak preparations to occupy the Siachen area.
This move was forestalled by Indian troops in April 1984. They swiftly
occupied the dominating heights and important passes on the Saltoro
ridgeline. India fears that occupation of Siachen by Pakistan would provide
an opportunity to Pakistan and China to operate in collusion and threaten
Northern Ladakh. It is in this context that some seasoned Indian military
experts have been talking of Chinese collusion in the Kargil aggression by
Pakistan.  “The airborne troop concentration and force accretion in Skardu
point to a larger sinister design.. to grab a large area,” said the
Director-General of Military Operations at a press-briefing in early June.
Three-Phase Plan: Informed sources reveal that Pakistan’s Kargil game-plan
was to be accomplished in three-phases.
In the first phase, it attempted to weaken Kashmir’s link with Ladakh. Its
intrusion in Drass was aimed to cut Ladakh’s supply lines from the Kashmir
valley through the Zojila pass. Simultaneously Pakistan was making concerted
efforts to entrench itself along the fulcrum of Chorbatla and Turtuk,
northeast of Kargil.
Pakistan was putting intense pressure on Battalik. Through its strategic
hold on Battalik it could drive a wedge between north and south of the
Indus. Pakistan would then have been in a position to delink the Kargil
brigade, which looks after the area from two other brigades located to the
north of the Indus. Chorbatla and Turtuk area, located north and north-east
of the Indus, would be isolated.
Having isolated the Chorbatla-Turtuk alignment from Batalik, Pakistan wanted
to mount pressure on the Indian brigade at Chalunka on the river Shyok.
Positioning of Pakistan’s forces along the Chorbatla-Turtuk sector also
threatens India’s defence of Siachen Glacier on two counts. First, the
pressure on the Chalunka brigade can mean the diversion of troops from the
Siachen brigade headquarter at Partapur. This could result in lower
concentration of forces for Siachen’s defence. Secondly, Pakistani troops at
Chorbatla can hit the supply lines of the southern Siachen glacier. This can
effect the Indian weapon and ammunition reserves for this segment.
The second phase of Pakistani gameplan was to follow once consolidation in
the Chorbatla-Turtuk area was complete. Pakistan then would have a good
chance of fighting their way along the descent of the Shyok valley, overrun
Thoise and sit at Khalsar on the junction of the Nubra and Shyok rivers.
Any Pak consolidation at Khalsar would result in squeeze on the glacier
since troops from Khalsar can be sent through the Nubra river, whose source
lies in the Siachen glacier itself.
In the phase three Pakistan intended to build pressure on Leh after the
takeover of Khalsar. Entrenchment in Khalsar would make the road link
between Leh and Kargil quite vulnerable through a pincer movement. While one
body of troops advances from the Khalsar side, another force cuts through
the Batalik alignment. The Pakistani objective for threatening Leh was
two-fold a) capture Siachen-Turtuk-Kargil tract b) bargain in overall
Kashmir settlement.
Some arrested militants have as per media reports, revealed that Pakistan’s
operation Turtuk was to be executed in four phases. In the Phase-I, the
Pakistani Army had decided to infiltrate the area through militants in order
to subvert the locals and initiate insurgency. This would be followed by the
launching of operations to occupy critical areas around Turtuk and the
adjacent areas.  The logistics would be maintained by helicopters, with
temporary helipads built across the LoC. An Army spokesman claimed that in
the third phase Pakistan Army was to launch heliborne operations in the rear
areas, to facilitate operations of the advancing ground forces. The last
phase was to declare Turtuk and its adjacent areas, as part of their
Northern areas.
“Operation Turtuk”: Pakistan began implementing its ‘Operation Turtuk’ plan
in 1994, when it hooked Ibrahim, a native of Turtuk. Ibrahim had been
working as an undercover agent for the Intelligence Bureau. He crossed over
to Pok with his family and got arms training at Hizbul Mujahideen centre in
Skardu. ISI made him HM chief in Turtuk. In 1996, he is reported to have
sent six local boys for arms training. Intelligence reports say that most of
Turtuk population got training through Ibraham. He has now turned out to be
a major conduit of arms and ammunition in Turtuk. Ibraham had stored these
arms and sophisticated communication equipment stealthily at hill tops and
in walls of houses and some religious places, to be used when Pakistan would
give a go ahead signal.
It was come to light that Pakistan had planned a major “mass” insurgency in
the villages along the LoC, with Ibrahim running the show. Earlier
intelligence reports had said that several young men of the border villages
had crossed over to Skardu in PoK for arms training spread over several
weeks.
The arrest of 24 people hailing from the border villages of Thang, Tyakshi,
Pachathang and Turtuk in the first fortnight of June by Leh police virtually
created a sensation. It revealed much than was known about the ramifications
of Pak subversion in Ladakh. The conspiracy came to light with the arrest of
Ibrahim’s brother, Ali Bhutto. The police also seized a large cache of
sophisticated arms and ammunition, including 25 AK-47 and 56 rifles, one
LMG, one MMG, plastic explosive, one rocket launcher, three rockets, 15 hand
grenades, three batteries, fuse wire and a sniper rifle. Most of the
subversives arrested were in the age group 20-25, while a few were in their
40s. Significantly all the arrested people used to act as porters of Army
and they were paid fake Indian currency between Rs 2000 to Rs 5000 by
Pakistan.
What is alarming is that these young men after receiving arms training in
PoK would infiltrate the ranks of the armed forces, state police and other
civilian agencies. Leh police arrested two constables-Mohammed Ali and Ahmed
Shah from Thang village. The two are said to have been involved in hiding
some of the arms and ammunition brought in by Ibrahim. According to police,
Mohd Ali had been to PoK for training in 1997 before joining the force.
Ibrahim would be in constant touch, as per reports, with his relatives and
friends in Turtuk and other villages. He came often to the Indian side to
meet them and supply them with arms. Among the arrested people were also an
employee of Food and Supplies department-Abdul Hamid.
The busting of this subversive group is significant. How did Ibrahim manage
to infiltrate so much arms, ammunition and sophisticated communication
equipment onto the Indian side without catching the eye of security forces?
Why did people in Turtuk fall in Pakistan’s trap? People of Turtuk have the
highest literacy among the surrounding villages. It has the maximum
percentage of State government jobs in the entire Nubra valley. Turtuk
always received the best attention of the State government. Whenever the
Chief Minister visited Leh or Nubra, he made it a point to visit Turtuk.
Obviously there was no scope of any alienation. And surprisingly, it were
the illiterate Turtuk shepherds who were the first to report the presence of
Pak intruders in the mountains.
Also arrests in Turtuk have brought to attention the presence of “double
agents” in the border areas of Ladakh district. Earlier, in Drass, radio
intercepts made at the Army’s ‘Tropo Radio Intercepting Station’ ascertained
the presence of torchmen. In Drass a mysterious torch light would be
switched on and off from a remote village to direct Pakistan shelling on
targets on Indian side.
In Kargil also the Army and the police were baffled by the Pakistani
shelling knocking out vital targets frequently and so accurately. Targets
chosen were also significant-underground ammunition dump on Baru hills,
residence of SP, and DC, office of SP, offices of ration and clothing depot,
fuel dump of Border Roads Organisation (BRO) at Khurbatang Plateau. It was
so badly damaged that it had to be shifted to Kargil. The shells also hit
the office of ITBP.
After the police launched an investigation, it found 20 local spies were
directing the Pakistani firing from this side of the border. And most of
them turned out to be Observation Posts (OPs) sources for various Indian
intelligence outfits, double crossing the Indian agencies. The porters
involved in the game would gather information about locations and in turn
supplied it to Pakistan enabling it to go for its targets accurately. A
special police team nabbed Ghulam Mohammad, a school teacher and Hassan, an
army labourer on charges of spying in Batalik along with eight bundles of
dynamite and two metres of special detonator wire, called cordex. A mole in
the local telephone exchange was found directing the Pakistani shelling. END
 

KARGIL INTRUSION - WAS IT PLAN - X

Special Correspondent

In 1987, immediately afterthe Exercise Brass Tacks, Pakistan government
asked its Joint Chief of Staff Committee (JCSC) to Siachen glacier. After
prolonged deliberations, JCSC submitted a comprehensive plan to make India
recoil from the Saltoro crestline and Siachen glacier. The aim of this
operation, codenamed Plan - X, was to seize and hold logistics support bases
vital for maintenance of troops deployed on theSaltoro Crest Line, Siachen
and Southern Glaciers by surprise attck with a view of  trapping all Indian
troops deployed in the glacier areas and enabling Pakistan to negotiate
withdrawl of Indian forces from Siachen Glacier from a position of strength.
The details of this plan were published in a leading Indian defence Journal
in 1992. Plan - X visualised capture of forward positions of Partapur
garrison along axis Siari-Tortuk and logistic support bases for Southern
Glaciers by infiltration across the LC,  capturing  Thoise Air field Complex
and Siachen base camp through heli-landing of troops, simulation of major
attacks in Drass, Kargil, Tangdhar, Pooch to tie down Indan reserve
formations and stepping up terrorist and guerrilla activity in the Kashmir
Valley.
Plan - X was shelved because of the prolongation of Taliban war in
Afghanistan and Benazir government appeared to be totally against such
military adventure in Siachen. Some Pakistani Generals did not agree with
Benazir in postponement of Plan - X. They took India’s support to Dr
Najilbullah’s regime in Afghanistan as an excuse to attack Siachen. On a
note of prophetic warning, the author of  ‘OP. Topac-Kashmir imbroglio’
warned, “these Generals may not have their way immediately but it cannot be
assumed that they will not have their way in the future”. END
 

KARGIL: THE WIDER RAMIFICATIONS

By Shailendra Aima

The wider conflict in Kargil seems to be over with the withdrawal of
Pakistan troops and the mercenaries backed by it. The political observers as
well as the strategic analysts have heaved a sigh of relief at the averting
of a full-fledged military conflict between India and Pakistan, with a
possible nuclear fall out in South Asia. There is a talk, now, of conflict
resolution on bilateral basis in the spirit of the Simla Agreement. An
opinion seems to be gaining ground that the support to the militants from
across the border must stop forthwith. Another premise which is getting
projected simultaneously is that LoC be converted into International Border,
that the long standing promise of autonomy of Kashmiris be fulfilled and
that movement of Kashmiris from the Indian to Pakistani side, and vice
versa, be liberalised.
It seems that the entire solution, in this case, hinges on the assumption
that the bone of contention between India and Pakistan is Kashmir and once
there is a resolution of the Kashmir problem, the hostilities between the
neighbours will cease and that peace shall prevail in the sub-continent,
giving both India and Pakistan the opportunities to utilise their resources
on development and economic growth.
An analysis of the claims and counter-claims of both India and Pakistan in
the matter shows the Pakistani belief that a logical conclusion of the two
nation theory (the basis for Pakistan’s creation) should have been accession
of the state of Jammu and Kashmir to Pakistan; it being a Muslim majority
state. The Pakistanis also demand that Kashmiris be given the right of
self-determination, as proposed by no less a person than Pt. Jawahar Lal
Nehru. The Pakistanis also say that the denial of the right of
self-determination amounts to suppression of the people of Kashmir and
therefore it shall continue to support popular movements against India in
Kashmir.
The argument put forth by the Indians is that the state of Jammu and Kashmir
legally and constitutionally acceded to India when it was facing an
aggression by the  Pakistani regulars and its sponsored tribesmen. That
plebiscite became impossible when Pakistan refused to vacate one third of
Kashmir’s territory and that the people of Kashmir put their stamp of
approval on accession by electing a popular government, by participating in
elections from time to time and by the Resolutions of their Constituent
Assembly. The Indians also argue that India is a secular state and the fact
that India has a much larger Muslim population than the entire Pakistan,
negates the two nation theory. For India, therefore, Pakistan is the product
of a two-nation theory which it refutes and debunks; and for Pakistan,
Kashmir is a logical corollary and continuation of the process of the two
nation theory.
In addition to these claims and counter-claims, there is a need to
understand the nature of conflict between India and Pakistan. Creation of
Bangladesh was a serious physical as well as an ideological setback to
Pakistan. Ever since then, it renewed its attempts to annex Kashmir and to
weaken the multiethnic, multilingual and secular fabric of the Indian
polity. This would serve to avenge Bangladesh as well as to weaken the
ideological basis of the Indian nation state. Pakistan after the 1971
experience started banking more on subversive, diplomatic and political
machinations to achieve this end. As a consequence India is face to face
with a proxy-war not only in Jammu and Kashmir, but through a strong network
of ISI operatives, is being pounded in entire north-east and as far south as
Tamil Nadu. The reverberations of Punjab are still producing tremors, not to
speak of what is happening in Bombay, Coimbatore, Chennai, Gujarat and
Andhra Pradesh.
As a diplomatic and strategic initiative, Pakistan provided a no-hold, free
landing to the Americans for intervention in Afghanistan and diverted its
spill-over to Kashmir. A low-cost involvement for Pakistan has developed
into a festering sore for the Indian body politic and is demanding a heavy
price. A pan-Islamic Jihad serves the imperialist as well as
religio-civilisational imperatives of Pakistan and provides it an
ideological basis for existence. Emboldened by these ventures, Pakistan
visualizes itself as the eastern arm of the Afro-Arab Islamic fraternity
with a well defined agenda of expansion in India and further eastward. The
Himalayas and the Himalayan hinterland are crucial to its strategic and
global interests. An so is its nuclear and missile programme.
What happened in Kargil, therefore, is neither an isolated event nor any
kind of a misadventure by Pakistan. The only difference this time is that
India chose to confront it with its full might and the Pakistanis were made
to vacate this side of the LoC. As the reports suggest, the Pakistanis
during this period have succeeded in infiltrating about 1600 hard-core
Islamic mercenaries into Kashmir who have renewed their attacks on the
security establishments in J&K as well as selective minority killings. While
the proxy-war stands upgraded, Pakistan is also renewing its peace
offensive. It is expressing itself to talk to India for a final solution of
the Kashmir problem and also regrets India’s putting preconditions for such
talks. India on the other hand, struck up with a mid-term poll, finds its
political leadership divided and the entire opposition demanding its pound
of flesh. India moves into elections with prospects of a bloodier terrorists
offensive. All claims of normalcy in Kashmir stand falsified, today.
Pakistan has relentlessly pursued its agenda over the last two decades. It
has achieved a decisive depth within the Indian system through subtle ISI
operations. It has succeeded in creating a situation for India where India
is engaged in self-containing exercises a situation for India where India is
engaged in self-containing exercises at the cost of its own sovereignty.
“India shall not cross the LoC even in the wake of grave provocation”
reveals the state of Indian mind, where LoC is sacrosanct, granting autonomy
to J&K is pious, toeing the American initiatives is a compulsion but where
National sovereignty and integrity are matters of compromise.
Peace in the present circumstances is impossible. India may decide on
quantum of autonomy to J&K state, but that bears no relation to the
Pakistani offensive; as it would neither prevent its agents from
ethnic-cleansing of the minorities nor shall the militarised pan-Islamic
groups relent in their pursuit of Jihad. On the contrary, if the Indian
state persists with its misplaced priorities of package and concessions for
the so-called “misled youth”, and refuses to acknowledge the war or the
proxy-war or the war-like situation (whatever nomenclature it likes to give)
and keeps on harping on non-issues like “autonomy”, the days shall no be far
away when autonomy for LTTE in Tamil Nadu, Baabar Khalsa in Punjab,
Nexalities in Andhra, ULFA in Assam and other militant outfits in Bihar,
Nagaland and Tripura shall become inevitable.
The time has come to get out of this mind-set, call a spade a spade and
demonstrate the eye for an eye approach while dealing with the aggressor. In
Kashmir, it is the national sovereignty which is under attack. Either we
lose to Pakistani design and disintegrate or we preserve ourselves and
defeat the enemy.
 

KARGIL: THRESHOLD OF CRUSADES

By Prof MK Teng

The war in Kargil, contrary to the  view unexpectedly held by the Indian
government and which found favour with those who claimed expertise on
Indo-Pakistan relations, was not an isolated eruption of a border conflict
or a military expedition of the Pakistan army across the Line of Control. In
India, a prismatic sense of self-mortification prevails in the government,
as well as in the minds of those who run it that there is always, a cause
which has its origin outside the Muslim community for whatever, happens
inside its folds. Perhaps, the right of self determination which Pakistan
alleged, had been denied to the people of Jammu and Kashmir, was also an
alibi, which had its origin in India, and which was perhaps, devised for the
convenience of Pakistan. For the fact, that neither the transfer of power in
the British India, nor the lapse of the Paramountcy in the States,  accepted
self-determination for any of the peoples in India: those inhabiting the
British India, which was divided and those inhabiting the India of the
princely States. Indeed, the partition was a denial of the right of
self-determination of the Indian people, who except the Muslims-a small
minority in the Indian population, opposed the division of India.
For whatever, was accomplished after the partition to locate the blame for
the communal divide, the censure fell, partly on the British and partly on
the Hindus of India, who were erroneously believed to have determined the
policies of the Government of India, providing a clean chit to the Muslim
League and the Muslims of India: the real force which brought about the
partition of India. Pakistan  cried hoarse and rightly that the Muslims in
India and not the British had created the Muslim homeland for Pakistan,
concieved as a major step in the direction of the freedom of the Muslim
Umah. Indeed, the British acted as catalysts.
The objective of Pakistan was delineated by the Indian Muslims. Sir Mohammad
Iqbal and Mohammad Ali Jinnah provided the ideological content to the Muslim
movement for Pakistan, a fact, which is clearly revealed by the
correspondence Iqbal had with Jinnah till his death. The major tactical
manoeuvre the Direct Action, which overwhelmed the Congress leadership, and
brought it down to its knees to accept the partition, was envisaged by the
Muslims of India. The British did not divide India. The Muslim of India
divided it.
Sooner than expected, however, a conscious effort was made, first, to put
the blame for the partition of India on the British and after that was
achieved, put a part of the blame on the Congress leadership. The Muslims in
India could do no wrong, and therefore, they could not be accused of having
done the wrong of dividing the country.
The Indian perspectives continued to be warbled and the separatist demand
for a Muslim majority state of Jammu and Kashmir, to exclude it from the
secular constitutional organisation of India on the basis of the Muslim
majority character of its population looked for its rationale, not in Muslim
communalism, which it blatantly reflected, but in the quest for a
sub-national identity which was claimed to represent a secular ideal.
Much worse, the long secessionist struggle, spearheaded by the Plebiscite
Front, in search for the self-determination of the Muslims, was insistently
characterised as a movement which did not support Pakistan and the so-called
two-nation theory of the Muslim League. The demand for a second Muslim state
of Jammu and Kashmir, which the Plebiscite Front and the other secessionists
organisation made, was justified as a secular movement because it did not
underline this demand for the accession of the Jammu and Kashmir State to
Pakistan, but claimed a second partition of India to create another
independent Muslim state of Jammu and Kashmir. After the front leaders
formally adorned the garb of secular patriotism in 1975 they were suddenly,
hailed as the harbingers of a new age of secular history in India. However,
they pursued their own agenda and as Afzal Beg, the President of the Front,
had promised his cadres, that the Front would enter the government “to wreck
India from within”, they followed their objectives with meticulous care and
ruthless effect. The leadership of the militant flanks which launched the
war of attrition in the state against India in 1989, came from the two
generations of the Muslims, who were socialised to secessionism and Pakistan
for two and half decades of the movement led by the Plebscite Front in the
State.
The Muslim international underlined by the Islamic revolution provided the
secessionist movement in the state, with a new basis for pan-Islamic unity
and a new thrust for the achievement of the freedom of the Muslims in Jammu
and Kashmir.
A self conscious Indian leadership, driven by compulsions beyond ordinary
human comprehension, sought to camouflage the fundamentalist, communal and
separatist content of the Muslim militancy by offering theoratical
explanations, like the “alienation syndrome”, “poverty” “unemployment” and
of  course”, the inducement of Pakistan to misguide the Muslim youth”. The
Janata government, which owed much to the most irridentist leadership of the
Indian Muslims, for their support in the elections, blamed everyone, except
the Muslims, for the militant violence in Kashmir. They blamed the Hindus in
Jammu and Kashmir as well as in India for having scuttled the aspirations of
the Muslims to autonomy, political participation and economic prosperity.
They blamed the successive Congress governments of having rigged the
elections in the State to userp political power and oppress the Muslims.
The Congress which returned to power  after the Janata broke up, gave its
own version of the eruption of the Muslim militancy in Kashmir and with an
abject sense of self-condemnation, blamed its own leadership of having
deprived the Muslims in Kashmir of the autonomy which their illustrious
predecssors had promised them. Some of the Congress leaders carried their
argument to absurd extremes, claiming that the crusade carried on by the
militants and their Muslim supporters in Jammu and Kashmir, did not support
the two-nation theory, on which Pakistan was based and the version of the
Islamic Revolution the militant regimes in Jammu and Kashmir advocated was
basically secular in character, and upheld the “tradition of tolerance and
amity”, of the Muslim society in Kashmir.
The Congress government indeed, had no qualms to inform the National Human
Rights Commission that half a million of Hindus had migrated out of their
homes of their own volition, visibly seeking to convince the Commission that
the Muslims in Kashmir were in no way involved in the ethnic cleansing of
the Hindus from Kashmir. The Congress leaders avoided to refer to the
genocide of the Hindus and their ethnic cleansing from Kashmir, lest they be
rightly understood or misunderstood for what they said. For a long time, the
Indian government and the Indian leadership, reluctantly referred to the
complicity of Pakistan in the war of attrition in the State, using vague and
often misleading chiches, to evade an indictment of the Muslims whether in
Jammu and Kashmir or in Pakistan.
The Indian Muslims, who had stakes in the secular integration of the Muslims
of Jammu and Kashmir in the constitutional organisation of India and who
vigorously supported the secularisation of the state and society in the rest
of India vigorously aplauded the demand for Islamisation of the State under
the garb of its sub-national identity. They insisted upon guarantees to
secure the Muslims in India against the religious precedence of the Hindu
majority and demanded the enforcement of the right to equality and right to
protection against discrimination on the basis of religion. But they opposed
the secularisation of the Jammu and Kashmir State and its integration in the
Indian political structure. While secularism was necessary to protect the
Muslim minority in India, religious precedence of Islam was necessary to
protect the Muslims majority in Jammu and Kashmir, the only Muslim majority
State in India.
The violence, with which the Muslims backed up their demand for Pakistan in
1946, when the League launched the ‘Direct Action’ campaign, was
characterised  by Jinnah himself as the Muslim struggle for freedom from
India. The long war of subversion unleased by Pakistan in Jammu and Kashmir,
is not different in its objectives as well as its character from the ‘Direct
Action’ campaign, which led to the partition of India. The Muslim struggle
in Kashmir is relatively a wider phenomenon and involves the commitment of
the Muslim international with Pakistan as one of its epicentries to force a
second partition on India, and cut off its northern regions, Jammu and
Kashmir, followed by the planes of the Punjab and hills of Himachal Pradesh
and make way for the Muslims to expand eastwards. Expansion to the east
which the Nazis in their time, claimed for Germany as the inevitable Drag
Natch Osten’, has ominous forebodings for India. Pakistan is an ideological
state, and not different from the ideological states, fascism, nazism and
communism reared. India is on the frontline of  the Muslim expansionist
movements towards the east.
The eruption of the military activity in Kargil, which Pakistan claimed was
a part of the crusade in Kashmir, carried by the Muslim Mujahideen
represented the Islamic international, should leave no one in doubt about
its objectives. The Kargil war, is a part of the long war Pakistan is waging
against India to grab the Jammu and Kashmir, with a measured purpose: the
de-Sanskritisation of the Himalayan frontier to integrate the Himalayas in
the Central Asian Complex, which is dominantly Muslim. The Islamisation of
the warm Himalayan hinterland, would ensure the emergence of the Muslims as
the main power in Central Asia. And once they establish their power over
Central Asia, they will extend their sway over South Asia and South East
Asia. Placed along the soft frontiers of Russia as well as the turbulent
Muslim majority border states of Western China, including Sinkiang, they
would be able to force a realignment of power in Asia.
The de-Sanskritisation of the Himalayas is the most crucial achievement
Pakistan seeks to accomplish. For if the Himalayas are lost, the entire
northern India will lose its geo-strategic defences against the invasion
from the north.
Kargil is not an isolated act of military activity of Pakistan. For the
ideological state of Pakistan, the soldiers of its army, the Afghan Taliban,
the Sudanese and the Arab Mujahideen, are all pioneers of the Muslim
crusade, indistinguishable from the Mujahidin raised from among the Muslims
in Jammu and Kashmir. Kargil war is an integral part of the ideological war,
which Pakistan has carried on against India for the last five decades.
Crusade is the character of an ideological state and Muslim crusade in Jammu
and Kashmir should be viewed as a real threat to the national security of
India. Kargil is a warning of the growing danger, India is faced with in its
north. Ideological crusades assume varied forms, and the liberation armies,
which lead the crusades follow their own agenda. They are not subject to the
civilisational values, which India claims to be the basis of its secularism.
The genocide of Hindus and their ethnic cleansing from Kashmir has amply
proved that END
 

SIMMERING LADAKH

By Prof Hari Om

Irrespective of their political leanings and religious beliefs, the Ladakhis
had hailed the October 1989 tripartite agreement as the crowning triumph of
their 47-year-long crusade, which included the threat of leaving India for
Tibet to end the Kashmir valley’s hegemony over the State’s politics and
economy. The agreement promised to achieve and exercise equal rights for
Ladakhis with the Kashmiris in all spheres.
Under the 1989 accord, the Ladakh Autonomous Hill Development Council
(LAHDC) was set up as a means to evolve and empower the Ladakhis to mould
their future and compensate for their losses since 1947, owing to the
discriminatory policies of the Kashmiri rulers. The belief of the Ladakhis
that they would be armed with adequate powers to regenerate their
socio-cultural and politico-economic life was not based on something
abstract. It had stemmed from the President’s Act, 1995 itself, under which
they were to obtain a modified dispensation.
The language of the Act clearly stated that the LAHDC shall have unbridled
“executive powers” to control fully the region’s land and administration,
formulate and finalise the budget for the Leh area, generate employment and
alleviate poverty, promote tourism in the cold desert, set up educational
institutions and small-scale cottage industries, open up health centres etc.
However, to say all this is not to suggest that everybody in Ladakh shared
the same feeling that the President’s Act would harmonise inter-regional
relations, and that the politics of confrontation between Ladakh and the
Valley would become a story of the past.
There was a section which then warned that the LAHDC was not a permanent
solution to the kind of ills afflicting the Ladakhis. It stated that
differences may surface again as soon as the President’s rule ended and
power was transferred to the leaders in the Valley. In effect, this group
told the Ladakhi Buddhist Association (LBA), who had been spearheading the
“empower Ladakh movement”, that the key to the age-old Ladakhi problem lay
not in a dispensation within the State but in a total segregation of the
trans-Himalayan region from the  Valley into nothing short of a “Union
Territory status”.
The developments in the Leh area after the end of President’s rule in 1996,
leave no doubt whatsoever that the apprehensions expressed by the ardent
believers in the concept of “Union Territory status” were legitimate. But
some of the noteworthy things are the unambiguous resolve of well
established political formations like the LBA, the LMA and the Congress, of
taking extra-constitutional methods to revive their demand for Union
Territory status. Total boycott of the officially organised Republic Day
celebration at Leh in 1998 and 1999, massive strike throughout the Leh
district in January 1999 and the rise of a feeling among comparatively more
radical Ladakhis that they do not have any future in the present
geographical dispensation are some of the disturbing developments in the
recent past.
All these developments point to the fact that the euphoria of 1989 and 1995
has given way to despair, and that a strong anti-Valley sentiment is
sweeping the cold desert region. Known for its October 1989 unprecedented
violence, these developments also suggest that the problem has serious
dimensions.
The question arises: what aggravated the Ladakhi political scene and
provoked the people there to look beyond India? The most important of all
reasons is what the Ladakhis call repudiation of their 13 immediate demands
by the Valley’s “ruling elite”. They had even vehemently opposed New Delhi’s
move of setting up an autonomous hill council at Leh, denouncing the step as
a deliberate move to hurt the Kashmiri psyche and jeopardise the interests
of the alienated people of the Valley.
Some of the demands of the Ladakhis, which were put down by the Valley
leaders were: A free hand to LAHDC to administer all the 45 subjects placed
under its jurisdiction by the Presidential Order, 1995; Financial autonomy
and more funds to the council to enable it to undertake developmental
activities in the extremely backward area which remains cut off from the
rest of the country for more than six months in a year; reversal of the
policy being pursued by the Kashmiri leaders to undermine the authority of
LAHDC and render it defunct; finalisation of some General Business Conduct
Rules and Executive Council Rules; ratification of rules pertaining to land
otherwise vested in the LAHDC and control over Government employees serving
in the Leh district, including the Deputy Commissioner-cum-Chief Executive
Officer of the Council; and implementation of the Master Plan notified three
year ago.
Besides this, they also demanded increase in the number of blocks in the Leh
district from the existing five to nine; Cabinet Minister status to the
chairman of the LAHDC on the Darjeeling pattern and minister of state status
to its executive councillors; continuation of the pre-October 1996 practice
under which the chairman of the Council used to take salute at Republic and
Independence Day functions; reappointment  of Bashrat Ahmad Dar as the
Deputy Commissioner of Leh district, who was removed from office by the
State government following boycott of the officially-held Republic Day
celebrations by all Ladakhis; revision of the Councillors’ salary and
allowances.
It is obvious that the State government’s attitude towards the far off
Ladakhis is apathetic and provocative. The fact is that it has practically
wrecked the 1995 reform scheme as originally conceived and has
systematically minimised the concessions made available to the Ladakhis to
conciliate them and retrieve the situation in the sensitive border region.
The generation of aggressive thinking among the Ladakhis has to be viewed in
the context of the impatience with stagnation and an urge for developments
as well as the difficulties which are created by the Valley-based leaders at
every step and their unwillingness to shed off what may be termed as their
archaic bias against non-Kashmiri.
Chief Minister Dr Farooq Abdullah would do well to sit up and
dispassionately review the political situation as it is developing in Leh
and take appropriate steps to strengthen the LAHDC so that it is able to
mitigate the hardships of the Ladakhis. The people of this region
undoubtedly deserve a special treatment and extraordinary attention. For,
they have been suffering since ages from abject poverty, illiteracy, endemic
unemployment and, above all, depredations of the Valley rulers.
Not to meet their demands (and these appear quite petty and
non-preposterous) would be to play with dangerous tools in the sense that
the suffering Ladakhis appear determined not to allow anyone to take